Pre-Tournament Probability

Original Odds
The updated odds can be found here

Seed	Team	2nd Rnd	3rd Rnd	4th Rnd	Final 4	Finals	Champ
1	Michigan	0.972	0.861	0.693	0.548	0.178	0.105
1	Duke	0.971	0.841	0.707	0.562	0.406	0.145
16	Siena	0.029	0.004	0	0	0	0
2	Houston	0.922	0.642	0.43	0.245	0.112	0.024
15	Idaho	0.078	0.013	0.003	0	0	0
3	Illinois	0.889	0.598	0.277	0.13	0.049	0.007
14	Pennsylvania	0.111	0.022	0.002	0	0	0
3	Gonzaga	0.863	0.463	0.195	0.021	0.005	0
14	Kennesaw St	0.137	0.022	0.002	0	0	0
3	Michigan St	0.837	0.551	0.307	0.106	0.047	0.007
14	North Dakota St	0.163	0.045	0.01	0	0	0
4	Nebraska	0.857	0.494	0.198	0.088	0.027	0.002
13	Troy	0.143	0.028	0.004	0	0	0
4	Arkansas	0.793	0.474	0.043	0.018	0.005	0
13	Hawai'i	0.207	0.061	0.001	0	0	0
5	Vanderbilt	0.651	0.344	0.131	0.056	0.018	0.002
12	McNeese	0.349	0.135	0.035	0.01	0.001	0
5	Wisconsin	0.745	0.391	0.032	0.013	0.002	0
12	High Point	0.255	0.074	0.003	0	0	0
6	North Carolina	0.5	0.189	0.057	0.017	0.003	0
11	Virginia Commonwealth	0.5	0.189	0.057	0.017	0.003	0
6	Brigham Young	0.67	0.381	0.167	0.02	0.005	0
6	Louisville	0.485	0.193	0.077	0.017	0.004	0
11	South Florida	0.515	0.211	0.087	0.019	0.005	0
7	Saint Mary's	0.706	0.278	0.147	0.063	0.021	0.002
10	Texas A&M	0.294	0.067	0.021	0.004	0	0
8	Georgia	0.498	0.066	0.024	0.009	0	0
9	Saint Louis	0.502	0.067	0.024	0.009	0	0
8	Ohio St	0.58	0.098	0.049	0.02	0.006	0
9	Texas Christian	0.42	0.056	0.022	0.007	0	0
1	Arizona	0.992	0.944	0.894	0.816	0.684	0.55
16	Long Island University	0.008	0.002	0	0	0	0
1	Florida	0.974	0.77	0.544	0.335	0.16	0.039
2	Iowa St	0.91	0.647	0.386	0.139	0.024	0.007
15	Tennessee St	0.09	0.018	0.003	0	0	0
2	Purdue	0.934	0.711	0.48	0.085	0.039	0.015
15	Queens University	0.066	0.013	0.002	0	0	0
2	Connecticut	0.92	0.675	0.405	0.145	0.069	0.011
15	Furman	0.08	0.016	0.002	0	0	0
3	Virginia	0.865	0.544	0.298	0.098	0.015	0.003
14	Wright St	0.135	0.029	0.004	0	0	0
4	Alabama	0.742	0.429	0.125	0.065	0.01	0.002
13	Hofstra	0.258	0.085	0.011	0.002	0	0
4	Kansas	0.743	0.363	0.078	0.034	0.01	0
13	California Baptist	0.257	0.065	0.006	0	0	0
5	Texas Tech	0.68	0.369	0.102	0.051	0.008	0.001
12	Akron	0.32	0.118	0.02	0.007	0	0
5	St. John's	0.681	0.428	0.113	0.055	0.023	0.002
12	Northern Iowa	0.319	0.144	0.022	0.007	0	0
6	Tennessee	0.629	0.296	0.138	0.037	0.003	0
7	Kentucky	0.473	0.153	0.055	0.011	0	0
10	Santa Clara	0.527	0.183	0.072	0.015	0.001	0
7	Miami	0.681	0.215	0.097	0.009	0.001	0
10	Missouri	0.319	0.061	0.017	0	0	0
7	UCLA	0.624	0.215	0.086	0.019	0.004	0
10	Central Florida	0.376	0.095	0.029	0.004	0	0
8	Villanova	0.459	0.023	0.01	0.003	0	0
9	Utah St	0.541	0.032	0.016	0.005	0	0
8	Clemson	0.539	0.128	0.052	0.016	0.003	0
9	Iowa	0.461	0.099	0.037	0.01	0.001	0
11	Texas	0.33	0.134	0.039	0.002	0	0
16	Howard	0.028	0.006	0	0	0	0
11	Miami (OH)	0.371	0.132	0.046	0.009	0	0
16	Prairie View A&M	0.026	0.002	0	0	0	0